Sport

Paul’s take on this week’s Asian Handicap Pick 20

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We came up just short in our first attempt to to scoop the Asian Handicap Pick 20 Jackpot at Colossus Bets last week.

With 13/20 correct results, we were two short of the minimum 15 required to get a return, but we go again this week with slightly revamped tactics. To give us the best chance of a return we have taken advantage of a couple of additional ‘double results’ and are playing for a Jackpot of £62,500.

Some of the key games for the Weekend that we will need to go in our favour are previewed below:

Millwall v Fulham – Friday 19:30

Its the battle of the unbeaten runs at the New Den, as Millwall (17 unbeaten) and Fulham (21 unbeaten) match up in a crucial Championship clash.

Fulham are in the last chance saloon if they have serious intentions of claiming the second automatic promotion spot and Millwall need points themselves to maintain their play off push.

We should see a full bloodied London Derby, and Millwall will try and knock Fulham off their stride and interrupt their passing rhythm.

Despite dropping points at the death against Brentford, this Fulham side is pretty resilient nowadays and doesn’t concede many goals – I think they have they quality and threat on the break
to get the points here. I’m backing Fulham to get Friday off to a good start.

Prediction: Fulham -0.5

Ipswich v Aston Villa – Saturday 15:00

Ipswich are drifting towards the end of the season, rudderless and with just 1 win in 8, it is not difficult to oppose them at the moment.

Aston Villa visit Portman Road on Saturday looking to keep up their automatic promotion challenge.

Despite recent troubles on the road, Villa look like finishing the season strongly and still have one eye on automatic promotion. Villa look nailed on here.

Prediction: Aston Villa -0.5

Sunderland v Burton – Saturday 15:00

Whatever happens in this relegation scrap, it is very likely that Sunderland and Burton will be meeting again next season in League One.

Sunderland are in danger of suffering consecutive relegations with a whimper, and their home record of only two wins all season does not inspire confidence.

I thought Chris Coleman might be able to save them and he does at least have one last chance to galvanise his troops at the Stadium of Light when Burton visit on Saturday.

Burton kept their own distant survival hopes alive by beating Derby last time out, but have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 7 matches.

Burton’s defensive frailty is enough for me to side with Sunderland, who surely must be up for this one?

Prediction: Sunderland -0.5

Bolton v Wolves – Saturday 15:00

Wolves have already tied up promotion and the League title is all but theirs, but I don't expect them to ease up at Bolton.

The League table doesn’t lie in mid April, and Wolves have been far and away the best team in the Championship – they have picked up more points on their travels than Bolton have mustered in
total.

Bolton need the points more than Wolves in their fight for survival, but don’t score enough goals at home.

I think -0.5 handicap could be generous here and am backing Wolves.

Prediction: Wolves -0.5

Marseille v Lille – Saturday 16:00

Marseille have been a bit erratic at home in recent weeks with just 1 win in 4, but perhaps attention was on the Europa League.

Across the season they have been strong at the Stade Velodrome and average over 2 goals a game.

Relegation threatened Lille are the visitors on Saturday. They are in desperate need of points, but just can’t stop conceding goals.

They have conceded in 13 consecutive matches and could struggle to contain the attacking threats of Marseille.

Prediction: Marseille +1.5

Cardiff v Forest – Saturday 19:45

Cardiff remain the box seat in the thrilling Championship promotion run in. If they keep winning they are going up.

Many will have this down as a home banker but nothing is easy at this stage of the season.

Forest managed to break a desperate run of form with a win against Ipswich last time out and under new boss Karanka may be able to frustrate a nervous Cardiff side.

With the handicap set at 1.5 goals in favour of Cardiff I think it pays to be with Forest here, as even a narrow defeat would be ok for us (12 out of 25 of Cardiff’s wins have been by one goal).

Prediction: Forest +1.5

Bordeaux v PSG – Sunday 20:00

PSG have unsurprisingly dominated the domestic scene in France this season.

Even when the title was a formality they have continued to get the job done, winning 10 of their last 11 games.

A trip to mid table Bordeaux shouldn’t hold any fears for the Champions.

PSG won the reverse fixture 6-2 and although they are generally less prolific on the road they are defensively solid (only 12 conceded).

We need a 2 goal victory (or more) for PSG here, something that they have achieved in 23 of their 28 League wins this season.

Prediction: PSG +1.5

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