Racing
Sandown tipping preview: Concessions will extend solid form
Ahead of the Boosted £5,000 Place 6 at Sandown on Tuesday, Steven Dowler has written another top notch Sandown tipping preview. Read his thoughts and join his Syndicate.
Sandown tipping preview
16.25 – Fillies’ Stakes – 5f
A wide-open sprint race to start the Sandown tipping preview, but those with previous experience should hold the edge over the newcomers.
MISS JINGLES didn’t go unnoticed in the market on debut when well supported into 11/4 at Newmarket. Ultimately – she weakened out of contention in the closing stages having shown up well for a long way, but that was a warmer-event compared to today’s race and she will have learnt plenty representing the in-form William Buick and Charlie Appleby.
PERFECT SUNRISE wasn’t beaten far on her debut given she raced with the choke out for most of it and dwelt coming out of the stalls when sent off 14/1. She looks capable of taking another step forward today being the stable’s only runner on the card and PJ McDonald riding her again.
Oisin Murphy rides this track better than most and he rides the promising filly ZOETIC who has finished third on both outings to date. She was collared close to home for the runner-up spot behind Mutahmisa on debut over six furlongs and then went close behind She Do and Spright next time out. That form has been well-advertised by the first and second winning again since. Ideally, the drop back to the minimum distance looks a good move here by connections so she ought to be on the premises again.
Selections: MISS JINGLES, PERFECT SUNRISE, ZOETIC
17.00 – Handicap – 5f
Once more, another tricky sprint race to assemble and we start with course specialist OUR OYSTERCATCHER has leading claims again turned out just five days after finishing third over C&D. He has never finished out of the top-three on all starts here, and despite this being another rise in grade, his early speed and pace will make life tough for the rest of the field to catch him off the same mark (73).
PRINCESS POWER shouldn’t be discounted at double-digits. She has failed to get involved the last twice but has been competing in higher-grade races than this and her previous time figures indicates her being the fastest horse in the line-up. She’s well-treated here and capable of winning this if bouncing back to form.
POP DANCER has been highly tried previously so will appreciate the drop down in grade along with being on a career low-mark. Tom Marquand takes the ride again and he’s got every chance of winning this, especially if reproducing his fifth at Chester last year which came off a rating of (90) in comparison to today’s handicap mark (80).
Selections: OUR OYSTERCATCHER, PRINCESS POWER, POP DANCER
17.35 – Handicap – 1m1f
This looks potentially competitive, but top-weight GERANIUM has an excellent each-way chance truth be told. She’s a dual winner over this trip and went extremely close over C&D this time last year. Her four runs since have been in higher-grade company so she will appreciate the return to this level, and if she comes on for last month’s reappearance, I think she will run very well.
VOI is a consistent-triple turf winner who handles various ground conditions. She’s run very well since racing resumed, placing on both occasions off a mark of (68). The handicapper has been lenient with her, dropping her 1lb from last time out which certainly gives her excellent claims while also being 5lb below her last winning mark.
SANDY STEVE can’t be discounted who will be ridden by Oisin Murphy. He loves fast ground and ran well on his seasonal debut to be beaten just one length at Kempton. He’s been nudged up a couple of pound switched back to the turf here, but that shouldn’t slender his chances and I’m sure he will be thereabouts.
Selections: GERANIUM, VOI, SANDY STEVE
18.05 – Handicap – 1m1f
The favourite Harlow would be the obvious choice in the fourth leg of my Sandown tipping preview but preference is for PENTIMENTO who has the much stronger form in the book. He’s slipped to a handy mark having made the frame in three successive AW starts, including from 7lb higher on his handicap debut. Adam Kirby has been booked to ride so a win is surely imminent.
There has to be an element of risk attached to ONE COOL DADDY who hasn’t performed to the level of his fine second last year which came off a mark of (74). Having said that, he’s now 9lb below that mark running in this race off (65), and the combination of George Downing/Dean Ivory are always feared with these type of horses at this weak-enough level.
Selections: PENTIMENTO, ONE COOL DADDY
18.40 – Handicap – 1m1f
We now move on to an exciting contest featuring several potential and above-average three-year-olds who cross swords. ENEMY was an impressive debut-winner at Ascot before losing nothing in defeat at Yarmouth next time under a penalty. His fourth of 22 runners at Royal Ascot in the Britannia Stakes was an excellent run in defeat given he was slow away from the stalls and moved into the race stealthily well – being nearest the finish behind impressive winner Khaloosy.
That should have taken the freshness out of him and this is admittedly a weaker-contest. Indeed, I thought the opening odds of around 11/4 available was more than appealing from a punting perspective for John Gosden’s runner – who brings the strongest piece of form to the contest. He should, in theory, be trading much shorter in the market, especially left on the same mark of (90) dropping down in class with Oisin Murphy retaining the ride. I can envisage him being well-ahead of his current mark, therefore, he’s given a confident vote.
I think you can easily put a line through THE FIRST KING’s performance last time out at Newmarket in listed-class having won smoothly prior to that run at Wolverhampton in class 5 company. He never travelled with the same panache or zest and was beaten way too early to be true. Having said that, the form has worked out extremely well with the first, second and fifth from the race ALL winning Group-races since, while the third and fourth placed horses have also advertised the form nicely.
He’s been given a break since, and the promising Cieren Fallon has been booked to ride. I find it very appealing to see that The First King can be signalled as Fallon’s only mount on this evening’s card. The Group-one winning youngster has an outstanding record around the undulations of Sandown’s course with a 36% strike-rate of winners (4-11). This track should really suit the diminutive, well-balanced horse and he looks the most over-priced with an actual chance of winning the race.
Selections: ENEMY, THE FIRST KING
19.15 – Fillies’ Listed – 7f
It’s hard to knock Fev Rover who pushed the high-class Dandalla close in a Group 2 last time out, but she has yet to get her head in front still and I think she was flattered by the winner to be honest with you. I think she will suffer the same fate again by either one of two promising fillies that could be Group 1 performers.
Richard Hannon runs a couple in the race with preference for CONCESSIONS who is the mount of William Buick. She was a good winner on debut over this trip before meeting trouble-in-running when having to settle for second in the Listed Empress Stakes at HQ. I think she might have won with a clear run so I’m inclined to believe the return to this trip will be a welcome addition. Her form is rock-solid to date, and I am quietly confident she will be very competitive.
DUBAI FOUNTAIN looks very classy indeed from what we have seen of her so far and is the final selection in my Sandown tipping preview. She’s unbeaten and has trounced fair opposition on both starts to date. Mark Johnston’s filly has her first sights set at this level for the first time, but she looks well worth a go at this with considerable potential and back-class to reach these sorts of heights. She has done nothing wrong in her career and is entitled to make a bold bid to keep her unbeaten record in tact.
Selections: CONCESSIONS, DUBAI FOUNTAIN
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