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Newmarket Cambridgeshire 2021: Preview and tips

The Newmarket Cambridgeshire takes place on Saturday afternoon and is traditionally one of the toughest races of the flat season for punters to decipher, with some big-priced winners in recent years.

Run over 1 mile and 1 furlong at Newmarket, it’s a contest that several horses are aimed at and it’s the first race in the traditional Autumn double, the other being the Cesarewitch which is also run at Newmarket.

Thirty-five horses are set to go to post for Saturday’s race and we’ve delved into the stats and trends to try and highlight a couple of big-priced runners that offer some betting value.

 

Guide to the Newmarket Cambridgeshire

 

Key Newmarket Cambridgeshire Stats & Trends

19 of the last 19 winners were aged 6 years old or younger

16 of the last 19 winners had won three or more times in their career

15 of the last 19 winners won from a double-figure stall

14 of the last 19 winners had won over 1 mile 2 furlong before

13 of the last 19 winners finished 5th or better in their previous race

13 of the last 19 winners were officially rated between 90-100

12 of the last 19 winners had run five or more times that season

11 of the last 19 winners carried 8 stone 12lbs or less

Taking these key stats and trends into account, we’re left with two horses that fit them all, and both are currently double-figures prices for Saturday’s Cambridgeshire.

 

Anmaat (11/1)

Anmaat arrives at the Newmarket Cambridgeshire hunting down a hat-trick of victories, having scored at Bath at the start of August and then at Doncaster at the beginning of this month.

His victory at Bath was just his second run on turf and he was given a rating of 86 for that success, he then followed that up with victory off a mark of 94 at Doncaster where he defeated the highly-regarded Faisal.

He’s been raised another 6lbs for that Doncaster success but he can only carry 4lbs more as a penalty in the Cambridgeshire meaning he is 2lbs well-in at the weights.

Having partnered him to victory at Bath, Jim Crowley will be back on board on Saturday and a big run looks on the cards from stall 22.

 

Lucander (25/1)

Lucander ran a huge race in the 2020 Newmarket Cambridgeshire and he’s back for another crack at it this year for trainer Ralph Beckett. He placed 2nd last year from a mark of 98 but this Saturday will see him carry 3lbs less, with Hector Crouch the man in the saddle.

They ran 4th at York last time out at the end of August when just failing to get home over the 1 mile and 2 furlong trip. Lucander led the field a furlong from home that day at York so the return to the 1 mile 1 furlong trip on Saturday looks perfect. Draw 28 is ideal and he could well outrun his lofty odds and potentially go one better than last year by winning the Newmarket Cambridgeshire.

 


 

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