Racing
Doncaster betting preview: Don’t let Shining Success slip under radar
Raicng expert and Syndicate Captain Steven Dowler returns to tackle the £3,000 Doncaster Place 6 on Tuesday. Read on for his Doncaster betting preview and join his Syndicate.
Doncaster betting preview
12.30 – Class 5 Novice Stakes – 5f
A decent novice race to start my Doncaster betting preview and DIGITAL should take plenty of beating. He made a highly promising debut when finishing second at Newcastle. Meanwhile, Kevin Ryan has his team in fine form and therefore, he should show further improvement switched to the turf for this race.
James Doyle and Hugo Palmer have a good record when teaming up together and NORTHBOUND can be expected to go well. He won with more in hand than the winning margin suggested at Windsor last time out and looks a threat to all with more to come.
ROLFE REMBRANDT achieved good time figures when second on debut, and probably would have won but for being hampered at a crucial stage along with being slow to break away from the stalls. Any sign of improvement here could see him go one better.
Selections: DIGITAL, NORTHBOUND, ROLFE REMBRANDT
13.00 – Class 5 Novice Stakes – 6f
Not a lot to go on with half of these yet to step foot on a racecourse, so the promising filly SHE DO has a decent chance of enhancing Roger Varian’s fine start to the campaign. She was beaten just one length on debut by the promising Dubai Fountain, and with no horse in today’s race being in the same calibre as that one, She Do must come into the equation for top honours.
SHINING SUCCESS could be the one to have slipped under the radar according to most betting firms. David Simcock holds an excellent strike-rate at this track, and this filly could be ready for her debut assignment here with Luke Morris an interesting addition in the saddle.
Selections: SHE DO, SHINING SUCCESS
13.30 – Class 5 Handicap – 6f
A tricky handicap that isn’t easy to solve by any stretch. However, MR WAGYU will be a leading fancy to complete a quick-fire double having got back to winning ways just 8 days ago. He will relish the frantic pace of this race along with enjoying lightning quick conditions. He’s arguably still well-treated on old form and a good run looks assured.
Although not the force of old, the Ian Williams trained DOUBLE UP has been holding his form well for a long time now, and he has signalled on more than one occasion recently that his turn might be near. All of his previous performances since 2014, have come in much deeper company off much induced marks.
His latest fifth off a mark of 72 in a class 4 at Newmarket looks workable, especially now he’s been dropped another 2lb, meaning he competes in today’s race off a career-low mark 70. I think he still has a slight class-edge over these and looks a proper rock solid each-way proposition, though, I do believe he is more than capable of exploiting this mark.
SHEEPSCAR LAD is consistent as they come having hardly ever run a bad race. He will thrive under today’s quick conditions too. Interestingly, his last win was at today’s track over 5f off a mark of 81, and you can see today’s mark is much lower at 69. Therefore, it’s hard to not contemplate him being extremely well-handicapped. A fine record fresh makes him even more of a popular selection for our ticket.
Selections: MR WAGYU, DOUBLE UP, SHEEPSCAR LAD
14.00 – Class 3 Handicap – 6f
The feature race of the day and you could make a case for bundles of runners. The first of those being ICE LORD who has generally competed in much more competitive races than this and is 5lb below his last winning mark which was back in 2018 over C&D off a mark 92.
One aspect of his chance here that we can’t ignore is the fact that the handicapper has surprisingly dropped him 1lb for finishing a highly-respectable third at Newmarket on seasonal debut. That piece of form reads well in context to this race. He acts on all ground, has course form, he’s drawn well and has the presence of James Doyle which makes him an interesting contender.
It would be fair to say that CORINTHIA KNIGHT has been well below his best form for the last year or so. Even so, there is no doubt he’s a well-handicapped horses in the race. Admittedly, that is down to his recent efforts, and also proving himself to be most effective on the artificial surfaces. Regardless, he’s proved turf tracks are no hardship and his actual last victory was at Pontefract off a 7lb higher mark.
This could be a shrewd bit of placing by the in-form Archie Watson, and his star performer has the capabilities of going close here, especially with his form figures at class 3 and below looking quite tidy at 1, 1, 1, 2, 3. This race represents a decline in class compared to his latest run, so he must hold strong credentials now granted the opportunity to run well again with the brilliant Hollie Doyle taking the ride as expected.
Others to note are both THE GREAT HEIR and WENTWORTH FALLS who are previous course winners which is always a plus, and are both on a competitive mark that they are capable of defying if all things went to plan.
Selections: ICE LORD, CORINTHIA KNIGHT, THE GREAT HEIR, WENTWORTH FALLS
14.30 – Class 6 Handicap – 6f
This is quite clearly the weakest race on Doncaster’s card. I didn’t see myself selecting a 46-rated horse but SOME NIGHTMARE shaped really on stable/UK debut last time out at Chepstow. He was hampered at the start but stayed on strongly to not be beaten far in fourth and probably would have won with another half a furlong. This race looks a lot weaker and Luke Morris is an eye-catching jockey booking.
GIANT STEPS also made a promising stable/UK debut when third at Chelmsford two weeks ago. It is quite possible the drop back in distance will suit better, and obviously with Adam Kirby booked to ride he makes plenty of appeal in this modest contest.
Robert Cowell has just the one runner on the card being KRAFLA who has steadily progressed in each start and ran a nice-looking race last time out to finish midfield off a mark 57. She’s been dropped 2lb for this outing, so she’s clearly well-treated and has solid claims with Hollie Doyle on her back.
Selections: SOME NIGHTMARE, GIANT STEPS, KRAFLA
15.00 – Class 4 Handicap – 1m
FANTASY BELIEVE has improved since switched to handicap company, and following a smooth success at Kempton two starts ago he reappeared with a fine third in a class 3 event on seasonal debut. Today’s race represents a drop down in class, so he should get competitive again with fitness now assured.
There was a lot to like about DUESENBERG’s three races last year. He won over 6f on debut before sticking on stoutly over 7f on his final two starts last campaign. His stamina was in evidence both times suggesting the 1m trip will well be in reach. On the fact of it, he does have to give weight away, but he could yet have even more to offer and continue to improve beyond his official mark of 84.
FOLK DANCE remains completely unexposed and could cause a few problems for those with more experience. She has put in two decent runs in defeat against fair opposition and makes her handicap debut off what looks a relatively lenient mark. The stable are in real good form so all things suggest she is capable of exploiting this sort of mark and I’ll include her to round off my Doncaster betting preview.
Selections: FANTASY BELIEVER, DUESENBERG, FOLK DANCE
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