Premier League betting tips
Chelsea vs. Man City
Chelsea underlined their title winning credentials by blowing Spurs away with an impressive second half performance on Sunday to make it back-to-back 3-0 EPL wins, & four wins-to-nil in their opening five league games.
A game of to and fro at the Etihad eventually ended in stalemate as visitors Southampton had a penalty award, & 10-man advantage, overturned before Raheem Sterling’s late winner was narrowly chalked off for offside. Pep’s main concern though is likely to be that his side could only muster one shot on target.
Thomas Tuchel and his team look the real deal but there comes no bigger test than the visit of the champions this Saturday lunchtime – I can’t see them losing their undefeated start to the season.
Verdict: Chelsea, Draw
Man Utd vs. Aston Villa
The Red Devils were involved in late drama in their visit to the London Stadium – if the returning Jessie Lingard’s 89th minute redemption goal wasn’t enough, David de Gea was then called on to make his first penalty save in 41 attempts in the 95th and secure all three points.
Summer signing Leon Bailey inspired Villa to inflict a first defeat of the season on Everton, picking up an assist, a goal, a yellow card and an injury all in a 21-minute off the bench cameo!
Can Dean Smith’s side be the first to prevent Ronaldo finding the net in his second spell at Old Trafford? I don’t think so – this looks like another 3 points for the home side.
Verdict: Manchester United
Everton vs. Norwich
Rafael Benitez will be looking to bounce back after suffering his first defeat as Everton boss at the weekend. Despite being likely to have to do without Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Jordan Pickford & Richarlison the Toffees could pick no better side to protect/extend their 100% home record against.
Norwich have now racked up an unenviable record of 15 successive EPL defeats – no manager has overseen a longer run since the inception of the competition in 1992 than Daniel Farke. Grasping hold of any positives, as well as those key Everton injuries, Canary fans will also point to the fact that their club managed just one away win on their last disastrous visit to the top flight – a 2-0 win at Goodison Park.
The only question mark here would be the home side’s absentees but given the form of wide players Andros Townsend and Demarai Gray and that being where all three Watford goals came from at Carrow Road – it’s a comfortable home win for me.
Leicester vs. Burnley
Leicester certainly didn’t enjoy any luck on the fruitless visit to the South Coast on Sunday – with a contentious penalty having already gone against them, the Foxes then had VAR rule out Ademola Lookman and Wilfred Ndidi goals for offside. Brendan Rodgers’ team have now lost six of their last nine EPL games, as many defeats as in their previous 25 league matches.
After having a second half penalty overturned by VAR, Burnley crashed to fourth league defeat in five and remain one of only five sides without an EPL win this season, although Sean Dyche feels his team aren’t getting the points return their performances have deserved.
A tough game to call with neither side firing – but I can’t see the visitors picking up their first 3 points of the season at the King Power.
Verdict: Leicester vs. Burnley
Leeds vs. West Ham
Leeds slow start to their second season back in the EPL continued as they fought out a Friday night draw with Newcastle despite firing in 22 shots at St James Park. It’s defeinitly time to start converting th chances they are creating – sitting 17th in the table but underperforming their xG which places them 8th.
West Ham threw away a point at home to Manchester United on Sunday as Mark Noble came off the bench in the 95th minute to record the season’s easiest heat map – missing a penalty with his only touch. Top scorer Michail Antonio will make a welcome return for the Hammers and could cause havoc against a fragile looking Leeds backline.
This should provide plenty of entertainment and can see the away side edging it with Antonio back in the fold.
Verdict: Draw, West Ham
Watford vs. Newcastle
Watford claimed their second Premier League win of the season with thoeir first goals after three successive blanks, to ease the pressure on Xisco Munoz. Hornets dangerman Ismaila Sarr was back to his best and scored a second half brace – his side will be looking for another five-star performance as they prepare for another game against likely relegation rivals.
Newcastle talisman Allan Saint-Maximin was outstanding as his goal on the stroke of half-time ultimately earned his side a share of the spoils in a pulsating Friday night clash in the North East against Leeds. Getting Callum Wilson back out on the pitch alongside him will be crucial in their quest to lift themselves clear of the relegation places.
Until Wilson returns to the side I feel Newcastle will come up just short – but should be good enough for a point here.
Verdict: Watford, Draw, Newcastle
Brentford vs. Liverpool
Ivan Toney inspired Brentford to a brilliant win at Wolves to underline both his and his sides desire to prove themselves at this level. Despite having Shandon Baptiste sent off the Bees still managed to navigate the final 25 minutes at Molineaux allowing Bruno Lage’s side an xG of just 0.6 – the lowest of any home side in game week 5.
Liverpool were arguably flattered by the 3-0 scoreline in their win over Crystal Palace at Anfield, but with Mo Salah on the scoresheet again and Sadio Mane bagging his 100th goal for the club having those two in form will always give any opponent plenty to think about.
Thomas Frank’s toughest test yet in the big time – the extra class to prove the difference – it’s an away win for me.
Southampton vs. Wolves
The Saints halted a run of three successive Man City 5-0 home league wins and were unlucky not to come away from the Etihad with all three points after having a penalty and red card decision in their favour overturned by referee Jon Moss. Ralph Hasenhuttl’s side are now without a win in their last seven EPL games, and have drawn each of the last four.
Wolves followed up their first win of the campaign with a disappointing home defeat to newly promoted Brentford, unable to take advantage of an extra man for the final 25 minutes and even more worryingly failing to register a single shot on target.
Southampton have been knocking on the door of a win in recent weeks – I feel it may well open here.
Verdict: Southampton, Draw
Arsenal v Tottenham
Back-to-back 1-0 wins to the Arsenal and it’s just like old times – nearly! They did have a controversial VAR intervention to thank for overturning a Burnley penalty award but Mikel Arteta will most definitely take a hard-fought win at a place like Turf Moor as a massive positive.
Spurs performed well for 45 minutes before wilting at the hands of Chelsea to lose that particular London derby – their fans will not tolerate another to their bitterest of rivals. Head Coach Nuno Espirito Santo claimed “There were a lot of things that went wrong.” one of which it could be argued was playing Harry Kane on the left of a front three.
The visitors will hope the occasion lifts their skipper to improve an output of just four shots in his opening four games – but for me in a game Nuno will be determined not to lose I think the spoils will be shared.
Verdict: Arsenal, Draw
Crystal Palace vs. Brighton
Patrick Vieira will feel hard done by to have come away from Anfield with nothing but a 3-0 hiding – his side put up a good fight and performed well enough to prompt Jurgen Klopp to say it was “one of the most hard-fought 3-0s” he had ever seen. However, with all three goals coming from corners there is sure to be a lot of work done on the training ground to stop that happening again ahead of the Seagulls visit.
Splitting the “Big 4” in fourth place, Graham Potter’s side have got off to an exceptional start this season with four wins already in the bag and this is their best ever points tally (12) after five games in a top-flight season. With a disputed penalty and two Leicester goals ruled out for offside it could be argued that Brighton are riding their luck – but given their well-documented xG performance last season I’m sure their fans will think some good fortune is overdue.
This could be a really entertaining watch with the Eagles’ new style and I’m expecting a score draw.
Verdict: Draw, Brighton
You’ve read my Premier League betting tips now join my Syndicate.
You could earn up to £10 (or currency equivalent) in bonus funds by joining Colossus with our New Player Bonus. Click here to join the action.