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Premier League betting tips: 21st – 23rd January

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Premier League betting tips


Watford vs. Norwich

The Hornets ended a 7-game losing sequence as they snatched a late draw – their first under Claudio Ranieri – at relegation rivals Newcastle last weekend. The visit of Norwich was due to complete the set of playing all three members of the bottom three inside a week – but after Burnley successfully appealed to have the midweek fixture called off Watford have had a clear week to prepare for this huge clash.

Dean Smith described every remaining game as massive before his side breathed life into their survival bid by ending a 6-game losing run of their own, scoring their first goals over that period of time in a 2-1 victory over Everton and closing the gap to the much-coveted 17th place to just one point.

The Canaries have failed to score in 10 of their last 12 EPL road trips but will fancy their chances of at least finding the net against a Watford side still in search of their first clean sheet of the season – as a result I am going for a tense Friday night share of the spoils.

Verdict: Watford, Draw, Norwich


Everton vs. Aston Villa

The defeat in Norfolk was the final straw for the Everton board as Rafa Benitez was relieved of his duties – no shock considering that was a 9th defeat in 12 league games with just one EPL win since September. Duncan Ferguson is tasked with repeating his immediate upturn when he last took over the reins in 2019 – beating Chelsea 3-1 in his first game in charge following a run of 8 defeats in 11.

Toffees fans wondering who can replace Benitez as their public enemy number one will be spoilt for choice as Liverpool legend Steven Gerrard brings his Villa side to Merseyside – complete with former red Philippe Coutinho, who made an immediate impact with his goal-scoring debut last weekend – this game also intriguingly sees the swift return of ex-Goodison favourite Lucas Digne.

An underachieving one win in five for the visitors and the likely feel-good factor of a club legend in charge of the home side makes this a tough one to call but with Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison available again I have a gut feel for a winning start to Big Dunc’s second spell in charge.

Verdict: Everton, Draw


Man Utd vs. West Ham

Ralf Rangnick’s side were slightly flattered by their midweek 3-1 win at Brentford but despite all the negativity surrounding underwhelming performances – and a grumpy substituted Ronaldo – it’s only one loss in nine for the Red Devils.

The Hammers four game winning streak was busted by Leeds on Sunday – in turn being the only result to cost us a big slice of last week’s prize pool. David Moyes bemoaned his side having the midweek Norwich fixture sandwiched in between two meetings with Leeds following the FA Cup win over them, stating “The people who are putting the games in place do not understand the importance of recovery,” I am sure he will be thrilled the boot is on the other foot here following a free week to set his side up for a trip to his former employers.

West Ham have already beaten Man United at Old Trafford this season and the return of Thomas Soucek will be a big boost – but I think the wait for a first EPL win here since 2007 will continue with a draw the most likely outcome.

Verdict: Man Utd, Draw


Leeds vs. Newcastle

Marcelo Bielsa led his very youthful side – 15-year-old Archie Gray being named amongst the substitutes – to an impressive 3-2 win at the London Stadium last weekend as Jack Harrison bagged a hat-trick. Credit to the Yorkshire side for getting on with it and they have been rewarded with back-to-back EPL wins which has seen them move nine points clear of the drop zone.

No such comfort for Eddie Howe’s side who once again failed to close out a victory against a relegation rival after conceding a late equaliser at home to Watford last weekend. Elland Road has been something of a happy hunting ground in the past with four wins and a draw from their last seven visits – scoring at least two goals in each of them – although they shipped five in a thumping 5-2 defeat last season.

It’s still only one win in 20 for Newcastle and they remain one of two teams, with the only side below them (Burnley) the other as yet to record an away EPL win – the Toon have taken just a miserable three points from the 27 on offer on the road this season – expect more misery as Leeds make it three successive wins.

Verdict: Leeds


Brentford vs. Wolves

Thomas Frank was incredulous in his post-match interviews after Wednesday’s 3-1 defeat to Manchester United in a game where he claimed “The way we smashed them in the first half was fantastic.” But the fact remains his side have now conceded 10 goals in their last three EPL games – shipping at least three goals in all of them – and have now lost five of their last six league outings – leaving the Bees 10 points clear of the drop zone but having played more games than all of the sides beneath them.

In contrast Bruno Lage’s men have won four of their last five in all competitions and finally found their shooting boots as they defeated Southampton 3-1 last weekend – once again the first goal proving crucial – making it eight wins from the nine games where they have opened the scoring.

Brentford have only recorded one EPL win on a Saturday this season from nine attempts – but that one was against Wolves in the reverse fixture – however, I expect the Old Gold to gain revenge in London though.

Verdict: Draw, Wolves


Southampton vs. Man City

The Saints come in to this clash protecting a seven-game unbeaten home record – although they did lose for the first time in five with that aforementioned defeat at Wolves.

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The visitors will have the opportunity to open up a 14-point advantage at the top of the EPL table if they register a victory on the South Coast – and if they do, it would be an incredible 13th successive league win.

Man City have won four of their last five visits to Southampton and after a rare goalless draw in the reverse fixture Pep’s side will not be taking their opponents lightly – given their current form it is impossible to look past them claiming another three points.

Verdict: Man City


Leicester vs. Brighton

Oh Brendan! With 94 minutes and 51 seconds on the clock the Foxes were 2-1 up against Spurs and on course for a big win to close the gap on the European places – but 80 seconds later they had instead set a new EPL record for the latest time in a game a team has been leading but gone on to lose. It will take some effort to pick up a team already ravaged by absentees for this clash against such a tough to beat opponent.

Possibly the one side Leicester didn’t want to face after that injury time collapse is the late goals experts Brighton. The Seagulls picked up another point after falling behind as they registered a fifth 1-1 draw in their last eight games with a midweek stalemate against Chelsea – Graham Potter’s side registering an eleventh draw from 21 league games.

Only the top three have lost fewer games than Brighton’s four and I’m sure they will feel they have a great opportunity to register a win against a Leicester side surely with brittle confidence – however I feel we could see another share of the spoils at the King Power.

Verdict: Leicester, Draw


Crystal Palace vs. Liverpool

The Eagles will have plenty of prep time for the visit of Liverpool with their last game having been played last Friday – a 1-1 draw with Brighton following a late Joachim Andersen own goal and prior to that their last game at Selhurst Park was the 3-2 loss to West Ham, a game which saw them trail 3-0 at half-time and in which both managers stated they didn’t deserve to lose.

In contrast to their hosts – Jurgen Klopp’s side play on Thursday – completing their delayed EFL Cup Semi-Final with Arsenal – although I’m sure the German head coach will take that in his stride. The Reds last league action saw a routine 3-0 defeat of Brentford at Anfield ending a run of three EPL games without a win.

Due to their AFCON involvement, there is of course no Mo Salah or Sadio Mane who contributed three goals in this fixture last season – however, Liverpool still had four other players on the scoresheet that day in an incredible 7-0 away win – their seventh successive victory over Palace in their own stadium – I’m sure this one will be a lot closer but with the same side taking the three points.

Verdict: Liverpool


Arsenal vs. Burnley

Surely the favourite game to suffer a late postponement this week – however, let’s hope both sides can muster enough players for this to go ahead and the Gunners don’t suffer a spate of injuries in their Thursday night EFL Cup Semi Final against Liverpool. Mikel Arteta’s side successfully appealed for the North London Derby to be postponed last weekend and ahead of the second leg of their cup tie have failed to win any of their last three games – including a third round FA Cup exit to Nottingham Forest. Their last league game was a home defeat to Manchester City on New Year’s Day.

The Clarets have not played since January 8th and will come in to this game with no win in eight, no Maxwel Cornet, no Chris Wood and no replacement for him – they also have, in my opinion no hope!

Due to their inactivity Burnley will travel to the Emirates bottom of the league although only one win all season and no win on the road clearly contribute to that too – only Man City have more home league wins this term than Arsenal and it would shock me if they failed to add another if this clash takes place as planned.

Verdict: Arsenal


Chelsea vs. Spurs

Thomas Tuchel saw his side take the lead – although Hakim Ziyech was “too tired” to celebrate his strike – but get pegged back at the Amex on Tuesday in a 1-1 draw – the Blues have now failed to win any of their last four league games. As a result of long-term injuries, of key players injured, and of COVID, Tuchel is taking the interesting step of giving his players two days off before using Friday and Saturday to prepare for this big London derby.

The aforementioned incredible win for Spurs will see them travel to Stamford Bridge in the best possible heart as will Harry Kane who told BT Sport “To get two goals like that in stoppage time – it’s a game I’ll never forget for the rest of my career,” – Spurs’ talisman fired 10 shots at the King Power, one more than he managed in the five games he played for the club in August and September!

Antonio Conte returns to Chelsea still undefeated in the league as Spurs manager and will be desperate to extend that run against his former employers – who although are probably out of the title race following that defeat to Man City – it remains their only loss in 13 in all competitions and they are also unbeaten in their last 13 competitive games at Stamford Bridge – which all points towards another stalemate here.

Verdict: Chelsea, Draw


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