Last weekend’s Premier League betting tips saw us go frustratingly close to some big offers. In the opening five legs we were let down by two selections. The first was Reading’s goalless draw with Middlesbrough, when The Royals failed to convert their 63% possession and ten goal attempts into the goal we needed for a 0-1 or 0-2 win. The second was Tottenham’s staggering collapse against West Ham. We needed AOH (Tottenham to win and score 4+ goals). At 3-0 up after 16 minutes I assumed it was in the bag but… Spurs.
Nonetheless, going so close shows how potentially winnable this pool is and I’m keen to go again this weekend and try to go even better. So check out my betting tips for this round of Premier League fixtures and join my Syndicate.
Premier League betting tips
Barcelona vs. Real Madrid
An unusual El Clasico to kick off proceedings, with both of the Spanish giants coming into this game outside the top two and off the back of a stinking result.
Admittedly it’s early days in the league and, if Barca win their game in hand, both would be just a point off first place. However, Real Madrid’s 0-1 home defeat to Cadiz and Barca’s loss by the same scoreline to Getafe over the weekend will surely set alarm bells ringing in both camps.
Barca are actually winless in two after a draw with Sevilla in their previous outing and have scored just once in their last two games. It makes me question why the fixed odds bookies have them priced so short, with 5/4 the biggest you’ll get at the time of writing. Perhaps it could be Real’s poor recent record in the fixture, with their 2-0 win in March ending a run of seven straight games without victory.
The last three fixtures between the pair have been low-scoring, with just three goals between them and I’m expecting a similar outcome here. With neither side clearly in full throttle yet and neither wanting to give up early ground in the title race, I’m going to predict a low-scoring affair again.
Selections: 0-0, 1-0, 0-1, 1-1
Fulham vs. Crystal Palace
It was the definitive game of two halves for Fulham against Sheffield United. In the first period, Scott Parker’s men might as well not have been there such was the ease at which The Blades ran past them. However, they held firm and gained control in the second half, taking the lead before eventually drawing, earning their first point of the season.
There were shoots of improvement for Fulham who still haven’t kept a clean sheet but have an opportunity to do so against a Crystal Palace side who had just a single shot against Brighton at the weekend, the penalty which they scored from. Never before in Premier League history has a team failed to register a single shot from open play, such is the negative way that Roy Hodgson sets up his team.
Palace are an extremely frustrating side to watch. In Wilfried Zaha, Ezerechi Eze, Andros Townsend, Michy Batshuayi and Jordan Ayew they possess attacking talent that plenty of their Premier League rivals would covet. However, the way they set up is so conservative that you very rarely see them in full flow. Indeed, it is baffling that they aren’t the lowest scorers in the division again, given that they are 20th for possession, passes attempted and passing accuracy so far.
Due to how compact and well organised they are, I wouldn’t expect Palace to concede more than a goal to Fulham, barring an uncharacteristic meltdown, so the question is how many they score. It isn’t a game that I’m expecting many goals in honesty, so probably a similar affair to El Clasico in terms of selections.
Selections: 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 0-2
Man Utd vs. Chelsea
Now we’re talking. Two of the big six lock horns with unrated, novice managers in charge, outrageous attacking talent in their ranks and a series of crazy results behind them. Neutrals will be extremely disappointed if this game isn’t flooded with goals.
So far this season there have been 21 goals in four United games, an average of just over five a match. United have seen both teams score in each of those games with them scoring nine and conceding 12.
The five Chelsea contests have produced 22 goals at a slightly lower, but still mightily entertaining, rate of 4.4 per game. The Blues have scored 13 and conceded nine, with the impression being that both of these two can attack for fun but are extremely vulnerable defensively.
Sometimes these games which seem prime to be a goal-fest flatter to deceive but, on this occasion, I’m confident it will be a cracker. AOD has to go in considering that Chelsea have drawn 3-3 twice in their last three games. I’ll also perm AOH and AOA so that we can just cheer every goal that goes in regardless of who scores it.
Selections: AOH, AOA, AOD
Southampton vs. Everton
As far as Premier League betting tips go, this is a tricky affair to predict. I’m an open admirer of Southampton and picked them to be in European contention this season. On the other hand you have Everton who have started the season like a train.
They will both be buzzing after high-scoring draws against tough opposition at the weekend. The Saints came from two down to salvage a 3-3 draw against Chelsea in the 92nd minute. Everton, on the other hand, took part in one of the most entertaining and dramatic Merseyside derbies in living memory, with the in-form Dominic Calvert-Lewin scoring an 81st minute equaliser before seeing Liverpool have a late goal ruled out (harshly in my opinion) through VAR.
It’s a game with a tremendous sub-plot as each is spearheaded by a talismanic English striker who is banging in goals for fun in their bid to rival Harry Kane (himself in outrageous form) for the starting position for England next summer. Danny Ings and Calvert-Lewin have been outstanding this season and this tight game could come down to which of them takes their chances better.
I think it is such a close game that I can’t separate them. There should be goals though.
Selections: 1-1, AOD
Wolves vs. Newcastle
I’ve run out of selections so will only be picking one in the remaining two legs, with the hope I get through the opening four and have a tasty partial Cash Out opportunity.
It’s been a slow start to the season for Wolves but I fancy them to earn three points against a Newcastle side who, based on xGa, having been getting away with it for a while now until United thumped them last weekend.
It’s a game in which Newcastle should score, given Wolves defensively shaky start to the season and Newcastle’s own positive attacking one. However, I reckon Nuno Espirito Santo’s outfit will have too much quality and will ease to a comfortable win. Newcastle have a tendency to concede late goals so don’t be surprised to see that.
Arsenal vs. Leicester
Both of these pair have nine points from their opening games, with Leicester scoring and conceding more than Arsenal so far.
The Foxes will have been heartbroken to concede late on and lose against high-flying Villa but are missing key players, with Wilfried Ndidi and Caglar Soyoncu expected to be out for some time. Ricardo Pereira is only just recovering from injury and Jamie Vardy, who missed the Villa game, should be back for this one.
I was extremely disappointed in Arsenal’s performance against Man City, who I thought were there for the taking. They don’t seem to be at the races in an attacking sense yet this season, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang sure to be disappointed with just a single goal from his five games.
However, I do rate Arsenal highly this season and think that Leicester are vulnerable still so will (foolishly, perhaps) put my faith in The Gunners again.
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