Premier League betting tips
Arsenal vs. Newcastle
Arsenal’s 10 game unbeaten run was brought to an abrupt end as Liverpool thrashed them 4-0 at Anfield last weekend, proving that despite progress there is still some gap to bridge to Europe’s elite. This step back down in class should allow an immediate chance for Mikel Arteta and his men to bounce back to winning ways.
Eddie Howe missed his side’s “just like old times” performance against Brentford last week which had everything you would expect from an old school Newcastle performance. Their skipper scoring at both ends in a six-goal thriller as they took the lead but had to come from behind twice to salvage a point – but as a result now go in to this Saturday early kick off as the EPL’s bottom side.
The Toon’s new gaffer has a poor personal record against the Gunners losing eight of his 11 previous meetings while Arsenal have come out on top of this head-to-head in the last six EPL meetings without conceding a goal in that time – I’m taking that run to continue here.
Liverpool vs. Southampton
Liverpool flexed their title credentials with a 4-0 hiding of Arsenal to end the Gunners unbeaten run, leading Jurgen Klopp to purr that his side had put in an “exceptional performance” stating they “controlled the game in a good way and played exciting stuff in the right moments.”
In contrast Southampton fell victim to new manager bounce allowing Norwich to record their second win of the season in their first under Dean Smith the first time in 36 Premier League games Norwich have fallen behind and gone on to win a game. Saints fans will be hoping for a better performance from Alex McCarthy who could/should have done better with both goals.
A heavily rotated Liverpool will do Champions League battle prior to this game but as long as their key men come through that unscathed, we should see another Anfield win here.
Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa
Crystal Palace continue to impress – for which I’m grateful – even managing to turn a trip to a wet and windy Turf Moor into an end to end six goal thriller! With Christian Benteke looking somewhere close to the player of a few years ago, the Eagles are a handful for anyone on their day.
Steven Gerrard taking on Patrick Vieira would have been some clash on the pitch a few years ago, but as these two EPL greats collide for the first time as managers we should expect something similarly entertaining. Gerrard ended the Villains five game losing streak, only the third permanent Villa boss to win their debut EPL game in charge and now he must end their three-game losing sequence on the road.
With Palace conceding a league high 9th set piece goal against Burnley I’m sure there will be some serious dead ball situation work being done at both clubs’ training complexes but I think this may well end in an entertaining draw.
Verdict: Crystal Palace, Draw
Norwich vs. Wolves
Dean Smith’s tenure in the Carrow Road hot seat got off to a winning start and it would appear he has escaped the same fate as his predecessor after claiming three points! A third win on the spin here would really make those who had already written off the Canaries as already relegated, sit up and take notice. It will be interesting to see if Grant Hanley has got the taste for EPL goals having ended a drought of close to 10 years with his match winning strike against the Saints.
Wolves bounced back from their defeat to Crystal Palace prior to the international break with an impressive 1-0 win over West Ham. Bruno Lage’s side have now won five of their last seven EPL games.
A Dean Smith led Aston Villa threw away a 2-0 lead to Wolves earlier in the campaign and he will be determined to kick on after his successful first game, but Wolves have been quietly impressive this season and may have a little too much for this Norwich side still in a state of transition.
Verdict: Draw, Wolves
Brighton vs. Leeds
The Seagulls were the fall guys to supply Steven Gerrard with his winning return to the EPL and more worryingly for Graham Potter his side are now without a win in seven and only bottom side Newcastle have a longer winless run in the top-flight.
After losing to Spurs despite going in front, Leeds are still searching for a first win this campaign against a side who weren’t playing in the lower-level last season. Marcelo Bielsa badly needs his key forward players back on the pitch, with Raphinha and Rodrigo joining Patrick Bamford on the sidelines last weekend.
Neither of these sides are currently in good form or playing the football they are capable of – so I think we could see a stalemate at the Amex.
Verdict: Brighton, Leeds
Manchester City vs. West Ham
Last weekend saw another comfortable EPL win for Pep’s men as they cruised past Everton 3-0 and with a scintillating come from behind victory over PSG to secure top spot in their Champions League group the champions will go in to this clash with West Ham in great heart – and with an extra days rest over their Europa League competing rivals.
The Hammers have been excellent this season, but the question has always been there as to whether they could keep up the pace with such a packed schedule and relatively small squad. The defeat to Wolves followed a brilliant win over Liverpool so could be just a blip – but that theory will be tested to the max against one of Europe’s best.
A West Ham wobble, failing to score for only the second time in the league this season, it will be interesting to see both who David Moyes chooses, and how they perform in Vienna on Thursday, but I can’t see past a home win here given City’s current imperious form.
Verdict: Manchester City
Leicester vs. Watford
Leicester find themselves in the rare surroundings of the bottom half of the EPL after being on the receiving end of an impressive Chelsea performance which saw the Foxes crash to a 3-0 home defeat – as Juventus will testify there’s no massive shame in that. Following Thursday night Europa League duties this clash at the KP becomes a big one as Brendan Rodgers looks to end a run of three winless league games and also avoid making it 12 top flight matches without a clean sheet.
A win for the returning Claudio Ranieri would lift his Watford side, currently four points clear of the drop zone, above his former employers and heap the pressure on another high-profile manager following their shock, but deserving 4-1 hammering of a shell-shocked Manchester United – ultimately being the final defeat for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.
With Leicester still looking a shadow of their usual selves and Watford gloriously inconsistent – I’ll opt for a seat on the fence – although it wouldn’t take much of a negative Thursday night showing from the home side for me to shift my opinion towards the Hornets.
Verdict: Leicester, Draw
Burnley vs. Spurs
As already mentioned, we witnessed the lesser spotted six-goal thriller at Turf Moor last weekend, as Maxwel Cornet’s electric introduction to life in a Burnley shirt continued as he made it 3-3 with his fifth Clarets goal on only his sixth EPL start with a spectacular volley into the top corner. Even Sean Dyche is pleased saying after the game “We’ve had one loss in seven and had a lot of draws but there’s plenty of belief in what we’re doing so I’m really pleased with the result.”
A second half comeback from a goal down gave Antonio Conte a win in his first home Premier League game in charge of Tottenham but not before another half going by without them having a shot on target – making it six in total. The Italian manager has asked for patience as he implements his style & given his manic all action style on the sidelines, he may well get more than many.
Spurs shouldn’t expend too much energy in dealing with Slovenian minnows NS Mora on Thursday evening – which may be just as well ahead of what is likely to be an all-action return to EPL duty at Burnley on Sunday – I’m sensing another stalemate.
Verdict: Draw, Spurs
Brentford vs. Everton
The Bees put an end to their four-game losing streak with an entertaining 3-3 draw at Newcastle last weekend, although after taking the lead twice they may have expected even better, although I’m sure they were pleased to get last season’s top scorer Ivan Toney back amongst the goals – all in all probably a point gained given the circumstances leading up to the fixture.
Rafa Benitez has an injury and suspension nightmare to contend with, although I’m not sure the Goodison faithful will be feeling to charitable as their early season promise nose dives. The Toffees were easily beaten 3-0 by Manchester City last time out, making it six EPL games without a win and it was the second successive game they have failed to score in.
With the suspended Richarlison joining the injured Dominic Calvert Lewin on the sidelines and Demarai Gray a major doubt after going off injured at the Etihad this represents a fantastic opportunity for Brentford to register a first league win since October 3rd.
Verdict: Brentford, Draw
Chelsea vs. Manchester United
Chelsea were fantastic in beating Leicester in front of their own fans last weekend, but then lifted their performance levels even higher with a 4-0 thrashing of Juventus on Tuesday night – the big downside being the loss of Ben Chilwell until the New Year with a knee injury. Five league wins in six sees Thomas Tuchel and his side three points clear at the top of the EPL with only Liverpool topping their 30 goals for but nobody having conceded less than their incredible four goals in the opening 12 games.
With Michael Carrick at the rudder after the dismissal of OGS following that shambolic 4-1 defeat to Watford last weekend, the Red Devils navigated a tricky trip to Villarreal and secured qualification to the UCL knock out stages. They now need to stop an alarming run of league form which has seen them lose five and win just one of the last seven EPL games.
Stamford Bridge is not the place you want to go with a fragile defence to arrest a shocking run of form – especially with an interim manager in his second game pitting his wits against one of European footballs finest tacticians – it can be only one result – home win.
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