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Paul Browne’s Pick 20 Asian Handicap Preview

Handicap

Our 2nd attempt to profit from the Asian Handicap Pick 20 saw another near miss with 14/20 correct results.

We needed one more PSG goal in their 1-0 win at Bordeaux to pick up a consolation prize, but the French champions let us down in the final leg.

At least we are getting a run for our money and if we keep knocking on the door, we will eventually smash it down. This week we are playing for a jackpot of £62,500 and already have 8 guaranteed results in the bag.

There is another tough set of fixtures to negotiate this week, with some of the key fixtures previewed below.

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Fulham v Sunderland – Friday 7.45pm

Fulham got us off to a flyer last Friday with their impressive 3-0 win at Millwall and they can oblige again here against already relegated Sunderland.

It is 22 unbeaten for The Cottagers now and they simply have to keep winning to maintain any chance of catching Cardiff for the 2nd automatic promotion spot.

All the form stats scream home banker here, but Fulham have a poor recent record against Sunderland (1 win in 7) including losing at the Stadium of Light earlier in the season – one of only 2 home wins for Sunderland in this miserable season.

Chris Coleman’s men have been marginally better on their travels but with their fate already sealed and a defence that has conceded almost 2 goals a game, Fulham can get the job done here and add to an impressive run of 9 clean sheets in the last 13

Fulham -1.5

Reading v Ipswich – Saturday 3pm

We correctly opposed Ipswich last week and hope for more of the same when they travel to
Reading.
Ipswich have lost their last 4 away games, and from the outside look like a club in freefall, whilst Reading still need points to secure safety.

Reading are unbeaten in their last 4 home games and will hope to end a disappointing season on a
high. I’m not expecting many goals here, but will take Reading to keep a clean sheet and record a
narrow win

Reading -0.5

Middlesbrough v Millwall – Saturday 5.30pm

Millwall’s fantastic 17 game unbeaten run came to a crashing end when they lost 3-0 at home to Fulham and I expect more misery for the Lions on Saturday

Boro need one more win to secure a play off place and have won 7 out of their last 8 home games
(only defeat was against Champions Wolves).

Tony Pulis seems to be getting the best out of the quicksilver Adama Traore, who delivered
another 2 assists in their win at Derby last time out.

With Assombalonga back amongst the goals, I am taking promotion dark horses Boro to do the business here.
Middlesbrough -0.5

Swansea v Chelsea – Saturday 5.30pm

Chelsea are still clinging to an outside hope of securing the 4th Champions League place and
need to keep winning.

Their record against the bottom 4 sides in the Premier League gives me confidence that the
handicap mark of -0.5 goals is overly generous.

In their 7 games so far against the current bottom 4, Chelsea have won all 7, scoring 21 goals and
conceding just 2.

Like many others, Swansea had no answer to the Champions Man City last week, and may need
to keep relying on the poor form of others to keep their heads above water.

Eden Hazard was back to his best in the FA Cup semi Final and can torment Swansea here in a
one sided clash

Chelsea -0.5

Atalanta v Genoa – Sunday 2pm

The handicap mark of -1.5 goals for Atalanta looks like a tough ask here. They have only achieved that margin of victory 3 times in 17 attempts at home and may struggle to cut loose again an ultra defensive Genoa side.

Genoa are safely ensconced in mid table and have a decent away record despite the fact that they have only managed 9 goals on their travels.

With five 0-0 draws away from home and only 12 goals conceded in 17 games, Genoa’s game
plan will not change and I expect them to do the business for us here. Even a one goal defeat for Genoa would be a winner for us.

Genoa +1.5

Fiorentina v Napoli – Sunday 5pm

Kalidou Koulibaly’s bullet header in Turin has breathed new life into Napoli’s title challenge as they produced yet another late late show.

A trip to Florence will not be an easy assignment for Maurizio Sarri’s men – but they are unbeaten on their travels so far this season and have conceded just 8 goals in 17 away matches.

I fancy Napoli to keep the pressure on Juventus with a win here, but think the handicap line of -1.5 goals may be a bridge too far.

5 of Napoli’s 13 away wins have been 1-0 and with nerves jangling, a repeat of that scoreline is not out of the question

Fiorentina +1.5

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