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James’ £800,000 Pick 15 Preview ft. Arsenal vs Liverpool

Join James’ Pick 15 Syndicate here. 18+

Every week I will be reviewing the weekend Pick 15.

The associated syndicate reference is: 437QAMWE

We will always be going for the Jackpot of £800K with a maximum of 64 lines (£128.00 stake).

We will not Cash Out – we will not fold to pressure – we will win this thing!

Last week was officially our worst ever week. And do you know what that means? By the principle of regression to the mean, it means this week will be particularly good to balance it out!

Each week I will be highlighting some fixtures as bankers – games that I would bet my house on and will be tallying up my success rate on these games.

Last week there were 3 bankers: Watford (who duly destroyed Huddersfield), but Werder Breman and S.P.A.L. 2013 were themselves utterly battered like a limp bit of cod.

Bankers so far:  11 out of 24 (I’m still going to do this)

Bankers this week: Watford, Swansea, Tottenham and Sassuolo. 4 boom! And they’re all coming in. Come on!!

Anyway, onto this week…

West Ham vs Burnley

West Ham played well to hold onto the draw against Leicester but they are now without captain Mark Noble and maybe this could be enough for there to be an upset. I’m covering a home win as West Ham are still favourites, but Burnley, who are still yet to discover last season’s form could definitely overturn this one.

Selection: Home / Away

Newcastle vs Watford

Championship team Newcastle play Premier League high fliers Watford. This looks like a 3rd round FA Cup tie and Watford won’t be putting out the youth squad. Away banker.

Selection: Away

Reading vs Bristol

These two are quite close to each other on the map, but sadly for Reading not in the league. Bristol’s fire power is not the heaviest in the league but their defence is solid as a rock. Away all day.

Selection: Away

Brentford vs Millwall

Brentford have lost the last 3 games on the bounce. Millwall by contrast despatched with Ipswich last time out with relative ease. I will back the bookies odds on favourites Brentford, but will cover away too as Millwall are by far best on recent form.

Selection: Home / Away

Ipswich vs Preston

I can’t back Ipswich after witnessing that display against Millwall. Paul Lambert is a good choice to rescue Ipswich from what’s currently looking like certain relegation, but he’s not a magician and won’t be able to turn things around in an instant. Funds won’t be available until the transfer window in January so nothing short of a bit of time is likely to fix the problems.

Selection: Away

Rotherham vs Swansea

Swansea are back on the up and looking very comfortable on the ball. I’ve backed Rotherham for relegation. They should be a walkover for Swansea.

Selection: Away

Derby vs Birmingham

I should have known about Sheff Weds injury problems last week and I’m sorry for that. But Birmingham still did well to come back from a goal down. Derby are shining again, but my crystal ball has this game down as a clear 1-1 draw. I’m covering Derby just in case they’re on top form.

Selection: Home / Draw

Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Both teams are a mixed bag of recent league results. Neither are shining so bright. Middlesbrough have the slight edge perhaps, but home advantage for Stoke will even that out. I’m going to punt for a draw here.

Selection: Draw

Arsenal vs Liverpool

Apart from gifting a point to Palace last time out, Emery has had Arsenal’s foot permanently on accelerate. They are smashing in goals and winning games in style. Arsene who? They are up against title challengers Liverpool though and surely they are going to be a force to reckon with again. When two Premier League powerhouses go up against one another the result is usually a draw, as it was with Chelsea and Man City (for Liverpool). Can it be a draw again? I hope so.

Selection: Draw

Wolves vs Tottenham

Only a single goal separated Man City and Spurs in their last game and Spurs missed some real sitters. Wolves are not up to this sort of test, despite Spurs not being quite on top form at the moment.

Selection: Away

Eibar vs Alaves

The form of Alaves is still being ignored by the bookies and Eibar are clear favourites in this despite Alaves beating the mighty Villareal and despite them being 7 places above Real Madrid in the league. So I’ll give the bookies a bit of credit and back the home win, but I think you’d be mad not to cover away too.

Selection: Home / Away

Sampdoria vs Torino

Sampdoria beat my Italian favourites Atalanta in October and only narrowly lost in an exciting game against AC Milan last time out. They have to be slight favourites, but Torino are masters of the draw, having drawn more than any other team in the league so far, so I’m back that too.

Selection: Home / Draw

Chievo vs Sassuolo

Chievo have played 10 games and won zero. I’d have to have my brain removed and replaced with a cauliflower not to back Sassuolo.

Selection: Away

St Etienne vs Angers

As soon as I see any French game my mind just shouts “draw draw draw!” But I can’t see any reason in this instance not to back the home team.

Selection: Home

Montpellier vs Marseille

Montpellier are just a different team this season and remain in one of the top 3 Champions League positions. But Marseille are no pushovers and will provide mighty opposition. Even though this a Ligue 1 game against well matched teams I can’t decide who to back for the win. And because of that I’m covering home and away. That way for the whole game there is always hope.

Selection: Home / Away

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